Tbilisi/Moscow - Georgia was hailed by the West as a beacon
of democracy and growth in the Caucasus. It had the third largest
contingent of troops in Iraq and seemed on a steady track for
NATO membership - before its war with Russia.
But two reports emerging this week, by the Pentagon and a Georgian
parliamentary comission, tell of severe failings in the Georgian
military, which was easily routed by Russian troops during the five-
day conflict in August.
The United States and Russia compete for influence in the strategic
region over oil and gas supplies lines from Central Asia to Europe.
The Georgian parliamentary probe charged the government and military
leadership, despite having good intelligence, with being ill-prepared
for the conflict that saw Russian forces advance to within 45
kilometers of the capital Tbilisi.
The Georgian authorities failed 'to properly analyze the scales of
the expected threat,' it said.
Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili, who rose to power on the
back of the popular 2003 Rose Revolution, has come under increasing
criticism from domestic opposition, who accuse him of igniting a war
the small post-Soviet state could not hope to win.
The commission's assessment, however, supported Saakashvili's
decision to launch an assault on pro-Russian separatists fighters in
South Ossetia, citing months border skirmishes and provocations by the
Moscow.
Its release Thursday coincided with the publishing by the New York
Times of a confidential Pentagon report detailing a widespread
discipline and cronyism in the military leadership.
The Georgian army of about 30,000 troops, despite participating in
US-led missions in Kosovo, Iraq and Afghanistan, lacks sweeping reform
to modernize its army, the paper cited the Pentagon report as saying.
News also leaked this week that the United States and Georgia were
in talks for a bilateral security pact as US Deputy Assistant
Secretary of State Matthew Bryza visited Tbilisi.
Bryza denied such an agreement existed, but hinted it was under
discussion, saying talks had focused on 'US-Georgian cooperation on
security and strategic partnership.'
'We are still working through how to reflect the beautiful words
'strategic partnership' in our actual actions,' he was quoted by local
media as saying.
Bryza added the US goal was to aide Georgia on the track to meeting
NATO9s requirements on military-security and democratic reforms.
But ahead of Bryza's comments Georgian officials cited a draft
document already in the works.
In televised comments former defence minister Batu Kutelia,
Georgia's new ambassador to Washington, said a pact with the United
States would guarantee Georgia's 'security and territorial integrity.'
Georgian officials also expressed hope a bilateral pact with the US
could unfreeze its NATO bid.
Moscow, meanwhile, has called for arms sanctions on Georgia and
protested against any move by the United States to re-equip Georgia's
armed forces.
Analysts say US-Georgian bilateral agreement would put the United
States closer to a direct confrontation with Russia in the Caucasus,
where tensions are already running high as Russia bolsters its
presence.
Moscow is deploying new bases in Georgia's breakaway regions of
Abkhazia and South Ossetia and plans to host near 8,000 soldiers in
the two regions.
The United States in turn bolstered its naval presence in the Black
Sea, angering Moscow with its use of warships to deliver aide to
Georgia.
Georgia and Ukraine's US-backed aspirations to join NATO fed into
spiraling relations between Moscow and Tbilisi before the war in
August with Moscow protesting against the expansion the foreign
military bloc's along its borders.
But Georgia's Deputy Minister for Foreign Affairs pointed a
precedent in the Baltic states in comments to Rustavi-2 television
this week.
The former Soviet nations - Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania - first
sign a pact with the United States in the late 1990s before acceding
to NATO in 2004.
That agreement pledged US help among other things in modernizing
the three state's military to meet western standards.
US President George Bush's administration has promised 1 billion
dollars in humanitarian and economic aide to Georgia, which president-
elect Barack Obama has pledged to uphold.
But it is unclear whether such US-Georgian negotiations on a
bilateral partnership would continued under the new US administration.
Vladimir PootinDec 19th, 2008 - 18:30:29
Aw… does the loss of petrodollars mean no more bluster from Russia and Venezuela? Now how is Russia going to fix their rust-bucket Navy for their new “The USSR is Back” tour?
Boy, just when I was really getting into the “invade my neighbors” thing, too.
Maybe I can sell a shltload of my dopey Judo videos to make up the deficit.
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