IMF expects 4 trillion dollars in losses from financial crisis

Business News

Apr 21, 2009, 13:10 GMT

Washington - Banks and other lenders around the world must face up to more than 4 trillion dollars in losses related to the ongoing financial crisis, which has spread well beyond its origins in the United States, the International Monetary Fund warned Tuesday. Released as part of a semi-annual financial forecast, the estimate is nearly double what the IMF predicted in January and for the first time includes financial firms' exposure to troubled assets that did not originate in the United States. Only about one-third of the losses predicted by the IMF have been reported by banks to date, and the global lender warned that many governments may yet have to consider nationalizing more financial institutions in order to keep the whole system from collapsing. At the same time, the IMF warned against 'financial protectionism' by governments - policies that encourage banks to pull out of foreign investments in an effort to boost lending back home. Investors and banks have been fleeing from emerging economies over the last year as the financial crisis grew in wealthier nations. The IMF said it expects developing countries to face a net outflow of capital in 2009. The US housing market remains at the epicentre of the financial crisis. About 2.7 trillion dollars in writedowns will come from mortgage-related assets in the United States, up from 2.2 trillion dollars predicted in January. But the IMF said assets in Europe and Japan were becoming a growing part of the problem. Europe-originated loans and securities will cause about 1.2 trillion dollars in writedowns and Japan will add another 149 billion dollars to the financial turmoil's price tag. While the US mortgage market was the first to begin folding in mid-2006, housing bubbles have collapsed in several European countries - a list topped by Britain, Ireland and Spain - as well as parts of Japan over the last year. In total, the IMF now expects about 4.1 trillion dollars in losses globally before the crisis comes to an end. About two-thirds of the writedowns will come from banks, but others exposed include pension funds and insurance companies. The IMF said US pension funds alone may face 200 billion dollars in losses.