By Matt Steinglass Aug 8, 2008, 5:24 GMT
Hanoi - Ever since this once-impoverished communist country's economy began taking off in the 1990s, the motorbike has been an icon of wealth and modernization. To trade in your bicycle for a motorbike was to show that you were making it, and by 2007, over two-thirds of Vietnam's households owned one.
But since Vietnam's government abruptly raised gasoline prices 31 per cent on June 21, to 19,000 dong (1.10 dollars) per litre, the symbolic status of the motorbike has taken a bit of a hit.
With inflation running at 27 per cent, and gas costs taking a big bite out of the average Vietnamese wage, some have begun leaving their Hondas at home, in favor of buses, electric scooters - and, yes -bicycles.
'The number of people using buses and bicycles has increased significantly since the gasoline price was raised,' said Than Van Thanh, director of the Ministry of Transportation's Transit Department.
Thanh said with the price hikes, a motorbike commuter might spend nearly 20 dollars a month on fuel. 'Someone who earns 1.5 million dong a month (about 100 dollars) cannot afford to travel by motorbike anymore.'
The impact has shown up most clearly at shops selling electric bicycles and scooters. Once mainly limited to the elderly, electric bicycles have seen sales take off in the past month, and are selling to a broader demographic.
'We're selling five or six units a day, compared with two a day before the gasoline price was raised,' said Huynh Thi Nhung, a salesperson at Robo Electric Bicycle Shop in Hanoi.
Nhung said she was selling many of the electric bikes to young people and workers with low salaries. She estimated that the electricity for a 90-kilometre trip on an electric bike would cost about 0.3 dollars, while the same trip on a gasoline-powered motorbike might cost 3.50 dollars.
The combination of high gasoline prices and inflation was also leading to a slight rise in bicycle sales, Hanoi bike shop owner Nguyen Trung Hiep said.
Hiep said families that might once have flaunted their wealth by buying motorbikes for school-aged children were now economizing by buying them new bicycles.
A shift away from motorbikes would be a healthy twist for Hanoi's atmosphere. Over the past five years, it has become as polluted as the air in more prosperous Asian cities like Bangkok, according to pollution researcher Pham Duy Hien, who recently concluded a study of Hanoi's air quality sponsored by the Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation.
'There are very few motorbikes in developed countries,' said Hien.
It is not necessary to look to the West for countries without gas-fueled motorbikes. The closest major Chinese city, Kunming, allows only electric scooters, and boasts air quality far superior to Hanoi's.
But Hien said any shift away from motorbikes in Vietnam was still too small and too new to quantify. He called for a 'general movement of the people' to turn from motorbikes to bicycles and buses.
There was a time when bicycles ruled the road in Vietnam. Images from the 1960s and '70s feature young women in the flowing pantsuits, called ao dai's, cycling along city streets. North Vietnamese wartime propaganda movies show soldiers bicycling through mountainous jungle on the Ho Chi Minh Trail, pedaling enormous loads of shells and ammunition over bamboo and rope bridges.
As recently as the mid-1990s, Westerners who visited Hanoi were struck by the quietness of the city, the sound of traffic limited to the swish of bicycle wheels and the tingling of bells. One visitor at the time estimated the ratio of bicycles to motorbikes at ten to one.
Today, Hanoi's traffic is a cacophonous riot. Poor peasants bicycling in from the countryside with fruits or vegetables piled on the backs of their bikes must dodge and weave between herds of honking motorbikes.
The chaotic traffic is in itself a disincentive for bicyclists. They may not be emitting any fumes themselves, but they must still breathe everyone else's.
And for those prosperous Vietnamese who can afford gasoline, the motorbike habit may prove a hard one to kick.
Pham Van Khai, 45, a customer at Nhung's Robo Electric Bicycle Shop, said he didn't plan to switch to an electric motorbike himself. He was looking for one for his granddaughter.
'It's a lot cheaper and safer for her to use an electric bike,' Khai said. 'But I have to travel a lot, so I will stick to my motorbike.'
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